WeatherTiger's Hurricane Watch has released its first look at the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season, covering initial predictions based off data from the month of March. The forecast estimates that conditions in the Atlantic will be strongly conducive for storms this summer and fall.

The key takeaway is that WeatherTiger’s landfall risk model predicts a 55% chance the 2024 season’s impacts to the continental U.S. will be in the upper third of impacts out of all hurricane seasons recorded since 1900. This is due to the fact that it predicts a 75% chance that the 2024 season will be hyperactive, which it defines as a season measured in more than 160 Accumulated Cyclone Energy units (the sum of windspeed for all tropical cyclones in the season). However, WeatherTiger cautions the total energy of the season does not determine how often those storms will make landfall, only how impactful they will be if they do so. Read more at WeatherTiger.

WeatherTiger Co-founder, President, and Chief Meteorologist Dr. Ryan Truchelut will join WaterISAC for its next Water Sector Natural Disaster Threat Briefing, scheduled for Wednesday, May 15 from 2 to 3 pm. During this briefing, which will focus on preparedness for the upcoming hurricane season, Dr. Truchelut will provide an overview of WeatherTiger’s 2024 forecast. Register here.